Wednesday, January 21, 2009

China Q4 Annualized GDP: 6.8%; CPI: 1.2%; PPI: -1.1%

GDP at 6.8% was not a surprise: it was Right on top of expectations. This is compared to 9.0% for the same period last year.
PPI came out at -1.1%, a whole 100 bps lower than consensus, and much lower from the 2% last year.
CPI was 1.2% versus an expectation of 1.6%. The decline in CPI indicates deflation is picking up; the more notable decline in the PPI is more troubling as it is a leading indicator for much lower CPI numbers down the line.
Deflation is usually a leading indicator to many more bad things. Sphere: Related Content
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