Tuesday, April 21, 2009

So The Treasury Was Lying After All?

After all the brewhaha yesterday by the Treasury that they had nowhere, nohow released Stress test results, the Associate Press (a little more credibility than an alleged white supremacist) has just come out with an exclusive that claims it has seen a Federal Reserve document discussing the stress test implications - yes, Denninger was right, and the Treasury was lying. This seem to lend much more credibility to Hal Turner's disclosure from yesterday.

According to AP, the stress tests "take a harsher view of loans than of other troubled assets. That approach favors a few Wall Street banks while potentially threatening major regional players."

The regulators' focus could spell trouble for big regional banks undergoing the tests. Their portfolios have more individual loans and fewer of the big pools of securitized loans that Wall Street giants specialize in.

Some analysts said regulators are favoring the largest banks because if even one failed that would pose a severe economic risk. Banks that deal in securities are more interconnected to other corners of the global financial system.

Regulators also face pressure to highlight the weaknesses of some banks, or critics will dismiss the tests as a whitewash. That would undermine the goal of improving confidence in the financial system.

Under one scenario, the test assumes banks will see "no further losses" on these complex securities at the heart of the credit crisis. By contrast, it estimates that the banks' individual loans will lose up to 20 percent of their value. [TD: uh, what?]

The methodology "certainly penalizes those banks that are more involved in traditional banking, which frankly have been performing better in recent months," said Wayne Abernathy, a former Treasury Department official now with the American Bankers Association.

He said banks' loan portfolios have lost only about 5 percent of their value so far, whereas the value of complex securities are down 30 to 40 percent.

The soap opera continues. At this point there is really nothing else to say.

Sphere: Related Content
Print this post
blog comments powered by Disqus