Showing posts with label MGM Mirage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MGM Mirage. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Deutsche Bank Is "Seeking To Destroy Competition" For Cosmopolitan And MGM CityCenter

In a stunner of a development, Las Vegas casino operator Fontainebleau has amended its ongoing lawsuit against a set of banks, and has alleged that Deutsche Bank is now "seeking to destroy the Fontainebleau in order to minimize competition" with the Cosmopolitan Resort and Casino, which was acquired by Deutsche Bank in a foreclosure auction in September 2008 for $1 billion, after the casino had defaulted on a $760 million loan. Allegedly, DB is doing this by pulling Fontainebleau's revolver, making it impossible for the development-stage casino to survive.

The reason for Fontainebleau's lawsuit is that 10 lender banks unexpectedly canceled the casino's $800 million revolving credit facility, without which the casino has no hope of completing its $3 billion Las Vegas casino/hotel project. According to the lawsuit, presented below, the banks canceled the loan, claiming the project had defaulted on unspecified loan requirements, to which the casino has retorted that it is not in default and is accusing the banks, most notably Deutsche Bank, from whom it also is seeking damages, of trying to back out from contractual commitments even after receiving a plethora of bailout funds from taxpayers.

Fontainebleau goes one step further and actually accuses DB of "trying to minimize competition with the Cosmopolitan project. To that end, Deutsche Bank has sought to persuade other Revolver Banks to breach their commitments."

This is quite riveting stuff, as until this development, it was widely accepted that just the Rattner doctrine was allowed to renege on contracts. Now, banks it seems are starting to follow suit, especially when they have embedded conflicts of interest.

As both the Fontainebleau and DB's Cosmopolitan developments are in their final stages of development, their "successful" opening would result in yet another flood of hotel rooms in the already oversupplied Las Vegas market. The Fontainebleau casino would provide 3,800 brand new rooms and condo units, while the Cosmopolitan would supply yet another 3,000 rooms and condos.

Even more peculiar is the naming of some of the other banks, which in addition to DB, include Bank of America, RBS and Sumitomo Mitsui. Curiously, these are all banks that are also lenders on the MGM CityCenter program being developed between MGM Mirage and Dubai World. As DB is already likely elbow deep in the CityCenter fiasco, which brought MGM Mirage to the verge of bankruptcy a few weeks ago, it is not that complicated to see how the German bank would stand to profit by minimizing potential LV Strip competition.

DB has been aggressively ramping out its Commercial real estate portfolio in recent years. As Bloomberg notes:

Deutsche Bank had 14.7 billion euros, currently valued at $22.6 billion, of commercial real estate loans at the end of June, company reports show. That amount was 10.7 billion euros after taking into account risk reduction measures including hedges, the bank said. It wrote down the investments by 543 million euros in the second quarter, or 309 million euros when hedges are included.

Earlier this year, Deutsche Bank took control of seven New York office towers after developer Harry Macklowe defaulted on about $7 billion in loans that the bank helped arrange to enable him to buy the buildings from Blackstone last year. Deutsche Bank, whose shares fell 30 percent in the year through yesterday, is selling those properties.

As the Germans get even more entrenched in underperforming markets with significant real estate exposure, the likelihood that the bank (and other comparable lenders) will start to amend their loan exposure to competing properties arising from conflicts of interest will only get higher as the true scale of the CRE problem becomes apparent. And after all, what are contracts really worth any more, now that the President himself has provided his two cents on the matter. One can only imagine how much more hilarious the Las Vegas situation could be if the UAW was involved in any extensive manner.

The full amended court filing is presented below (link here).

Sphere: Related Content

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Have Icahn And Howard Marks Loaded Up On MGM Mirage CDS?

Such is the conclusion based on a Bloomberg article that notes that MGM Mirage is being pressured by none other than Icahn and Oaktree Capital. According to Bloomberg, "Icahn and Oaktree purchased hundreds of millions of dollars of MGM Mirage bonds and have told the company it should overhaul its debts in bankruptcy, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter. The investors contacted the company last month to say bankruptcy is the best option, the newspaper reported."

Neither the WSJ nor Bloomberg mention the possibility that the two distressed investors may have loaded up on bad, evil, terrorist-even CDS and are hoping to get cashed out that way. Observant readers point out that as recently as this past week, the MGM net notional exposure went from $1.4 billion to $4.1 billion per DTCC: if any regulators still care about something more than killing equity shorts, this may be worth their invaluable time.

MGM's CDS is currently trading 49/51 upfront, or roughly 3,200 bps running. The CDS hit a wide of over 8,000 bps on March 8, indicating what the profit potential is to holder of CDS. Of course, MGM Mirage has options in dealing with CDS-armed "terrorizers" (Zero Hedge would be happy to discuss these with pa Kirk) and avoid getting forced into a bankruptcy by distressed negative-basis loaded banditos. Alternatively, 1yr/5yr flatteners here may seem oddly attractive for ballsy accounts.

Lastly, Zero Hedge wants to point out it is still and always will be a big fan of the bankruptcy convergence trade in any of its gruesome incarnations. Sphere: Related Content

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

MGM and CityCenter Get Two Week Reprieve From Lenders, Bankruptcy

In an 8-K filed earlier, MGM Mirage announced its CityCenter lenders have agreed to forbear on certain defaults until April 13. In the meantime the company has to find a comprehensive solution or else CityCenter may be forced to file for bankruptcy, with potentially adverse consequences for MGM Mirage itself.

The CityCenter lenders have temporarily waived through April 13, 2009 certain defaults and potential defaults under CityCenter’s senior secured credit facility relating to required sponsor equity capital contributions to CityCenter. The Company intends to work with Dubai World, CityCenter and its lenders, and the Company’s lenders, to obtain necessary waivers or amendments prior to April 13, 2009, and to find a long-term solution for the financing of CityCenter. However, there can be no assurance that any such waiver, amendment or long-term solution will be available or that CityCenter will not determine to seek relief through a filing under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code.
As the company previously announced, on March 27 it had made a $200 million "payment to satisfy the required sponsor equity capital contributions due on or about March 24, 2009. Such funding included $100 million that should have been funded by Dubai World." Also in the 8-K, MGM announced lenders of its own $7 billion credit facilities have blocked any future payments by MGM for CityCenter aside from a $20 million payment to "ensure public health, safety and welfare or regulatory compliance."

Bank lenders have now effectively hijacked management teams to be their puppets as companies tiptoe on the verge of bankruptcy. Sphere: Related Content

Monday, March 23, 2009

MGM Mirage's Troubles Just Keep Growing

The latest sucker punch against what has become the Las Vegas Strip Pinata comes from MGM Mirage's very own partner in the CityCenter development, Dubai World, and specifically the Infinity World subsidiary. The latter claims MGM has defaulted on the terms of their JV, and has filed a lawsuit against the casino operator in Delaware Chancery. According to the emailed statement, the going concern language in the 10-K filed on March 17 "constitutes a breach of the CityCenter joint-venture agreement and puts the CityCenter development project at risk."

Dubai World has some serious allegations against MGM:
"MGM has mismanaged the CityCenter project, resulting in costs significantly over budget despite downsizing certain of the facilities. This has caused Infinity World to make capital contributions far in excess of the levels originally estimated y MGM. Essentially it is being asked to pay significantly more and getting less, with only uncertainty about MGM's future.”
Among things Dubai World is seeking in the lawsuit are "declaratory judgment and other measures that would relieve Infinity World of its obligations under the JV agreement resulting from MGM's breach."

It is not immediately clear if Infinity World will seek to recoup the $4.3 billion invested in CityCenter if negotiations with MGM to resolve issues do not progress. The letter points out that MGM has invested a total of $8.8 billion in this peak market construction remnant. Regardless, a lawsuit is the last distraction MGM needs at this point as it is fighting to do all it can do prevent a terminally worse outcome for itself and its creditors and stockholders. Sphere: Related Content

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Herbst Gaming Files For Bankruptcy

The wobbly casino dominoes are in full tumble mode. The latest gravitational casualty is Herbst Gaming, which tonight filed a long anticipated pre-packaged bankruptcy, the terms of which involve the termination of both the company's common stock as well as its 7% and 8.125% Senior Notes. The only winner in all this are the company's secured lenders which get to convert their existing $847 million in outstanding debt into debt and 100% equity of the reorganized company. Additionally, the company's more profitable slot route business will be split off with the Herbst family retaining a 90% equity stake in it, while lenders get 10% in the spinco.

While the company, which owns the Terrible's name, operates mostly in secondary markets with operations in such Vegas feeder cities as Primm and Pahrump, the spreading weakness from Vegas' atrocious gaming market means that more overlevered Strip-based properties will soon likely follow suit in Herbst' footsteps. Zero Hedge is closely following the developments at stressed operator MGM Mirage which now takes the podium of the Casino Death Watch arena. Sphere: Related Content

Friday, March 20, 2009

MGM Gets The Tripple Hooks

Last night S&P downgraded MGM from B- to CCC. Didn't take much more than an impending default to stir the rating agency. S&P analyst Ben Bubeck discovered what even Kirk Kerkorian has known for years (and being 90+ years old, these things are expected to take some time).
"The downgrade reflects our belief that, given our projections for cash flow generation over the next few years, combined with substantial capital needs to fund the completion of CityCenter and to meet debt maturities, MGM MIRAGE's ability to service its current capital structure is in doubt,"
And some more insight on what the prospects for Vegas and the Strip in particular are:
"While the company maintains a leading presence on the Las Vegas Strip, we expect the Strip to be among the weakest performing U.S. gaming markets in 2009. The company's ability to weather the current downturn relies on a moderation of the revenue and cash flow declines recently observed across the industry, which we believe is unlikely until at least 2010, or a restructuring of its debt obligations. As of Dec. 31, 2008, operating lease-adjusted total debt to EBITDA, excluding income from unconsolidated affiliates, was 7.5x."
Sphere: Related Content

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

MGM Gets "Going Concern" Warning, Buys Back $345 Million Face Of Notes

MGM joins the crowd of highly levered companies that announced a going concern by its auditors in its annual filing. The Vegas casino operator also announced it had received a 2 month covenant waiver from lenders on its $7 billion credit facility.
“We view the recently executed waiver and amendment as a strong show of support by our long-term relationship banks,” said Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of MGM MIRAGE, Dan D’Arrigo. “We look forward to further dialog with our lenders as we consider all viable options to improve our capital structure, which may include asset dispositions, raising additional debt and/or equity capital, and modifying or extending our outstanding debt.”
However the auditor warning and continuing operational deterioration likely just buys the company some time to pursue asset sales before it will have to get much more creative with its capital structure. With its staggering debt load of $13.5 billion it is very questionable whether the company will obtain property bids that are deleveraging. MGM reported decilning full year EBITDA of $2 billion, meaning any asset sale would have to be done at over a 6.75x transaction multiple for even $1 dollar of incremental deleveraging which in this environment could be extremely difficult.

Curiously, in a footnote to its Q4 results, the company disclosed that it had aggressively been purchasing debt: MGM notes it had bought $345 million face of its October 2009 and September 2010 notes at a combined cost of $263 million, implying a repurchase price of 76 cents. As the latter issue is now trading at 48 cents, this indicates that had the company waited another 3 months, it could have repurchased its bonds at a further 40% discount. Although the potential loss of an incremental $97 million benefit is likely cold comfort to the company as it now struggles to stay alive. Sphere: Related Content

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

MGM Mirage Hires Restructuring Advisor: Game Over?

MGM Mirage's travails are widely known, with the most recent iteration being yesterday's announcement that it may breach covenants in the near term. And if anyone was ambiguous about the company's prospects, Debtwire reports that the company has hired restructuring advisory firm Evercore, which comes hot on the news that the casino and Dubai World have abandoned talks with Deutsche Bank, after being unsuccessful to secure a loan for the CityCenter debacle.

Debtwire reports also that the company has commenced amendment talks with a steering committee led by Bank of America, which has in turned hired Mayer Brown as legal advisor and is currently looking for a financial advisor (all you Managing Directors at Lazard reading this, call your analysts into the office stat: pitchbooks are a-waiting). Debtwire further states "The company could be in for a fight with holders of its unsecured $7 billion in bank debt, but management currently holds most of the cards, said multiple buysiders, [as] lenders have little incentive to see the company file for bankruptcy before they can negotiate some sort of security package due to the pari nature of loan with $7.5 billion in unsecured bonds." What have we always claimed about getting collateral if you want to be a bank lender?

Other losers on the deal are the overzealous buysiders who bought into the company's 13% notes of 2013 issued in November last year and already trading at 66 (soon to be trading much lower).

Turns out the only winners in this debacle are Bill Repko and David Ying of Evercore, who will likely be exclusive (and free) guests in the Kirk Kerkorian suite in Vegas for years to come. Sphere: Related Content

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

MGM Mirage Bankruptcy Risk Looms

After the tapping of its revolver which we discussed, and the credit draws in turn by its boss Kirk, MGM Mirage, which even drew the ire of slow bus kid on the block Moody's, now the Las Vegas sun is picking up on the theme of the casino operator's upcoming cash crunch. MGM, which is faced with its own financial black hole in the face of the CityCenter which is a megalith expansion project that will likely never get done, but will still cost billions, faces $1.3 billion in 2009 bond maturities and another $1.2 billion in 2010, while its $7 billion bank loan is due for repayment in 2011.

Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings said MGM Mirage is likely to default on its bank loan this year because the company’s debts are too high. This would put the company's fate at the mercy of its bank lenders who would then decide whether to collect the keys to the casino or let the company run longer but at an exorbitant cost. Red-headed stepchild of the rating agencies Fitch said that even if the company obtains waivers from its banks, amends the terms of its loan or obtains the remaining cash needed for CityCenter, the company’s capital structure “may be unsustainable” given deteriorating business trends in Las Vegas.

The biggest immediate threat is the needed $1.2 billion in extra cash needed to complete the CityCenter project, if co-owner Dubai World, which is now faced with a myriad problems of its own, is unwilling to put up cash for the economic bubble remnant. With MGM stock trading at $3 the feasibility of shorting the company at this point is marginal, as of the 100 million share float, a third is currently short, and a resulting squeeze on any non-apocalyptic news could be impressive. Sphere: Related Content