Showing posts with label ETF. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ETF. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

The Truth About Dead Cats and Leveraged ETF Dogs

All you ever wanted to know about leveraged ETFs from the people who know everything about them: Barclays Global Investors.

Some take aways:

"For example, a broad 1% move in the US equity market would result in additional Market On Close demand of about 17%, while a 5% move is associated with demands equal to 50% of the
close." - can someone spell massive convexity?

"Generally, the greater the holding period and the higher the daily volatility, the greater the deviation between the leveraged ETF's return and a statically levered position in the same index. Note also that as leverage is embedded in the product, individual investors can gain additional leverage by buying these products on margin. Better education, margin restrictions, and tighter requirements on investor eligibility are possible options regulators could consider."

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Treasury Update: 30-Year Massacre V2

30 Year down 200bps to 117.25, for 3.52%. TBT longs happy again



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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Treasury Update: 30-Year Massacre

The 30 Year Treasury dropped over 250 bps today ato 123.04 last, for a yield of 3.267%, the highest yield since December 3. TBT longs everywhere rejoice. Sphere: Related Content

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

ETF Pick of The Day: TBT

Thank you Fast Money for pushing our other ETF pick and holding - double negative on treasuries but no negative carry: you get a dividend if you care about that kind of stuff. Cheap entry point at $40.33, with historical average $61.03. Thesis: the sell off in treasuries once people go back to risky assets, or once everyone stops buying them. China, Russia, Japan and Europe will have massive internal budget deficits to fund to care about buying treasuries, and the US can only print so much money to buy its own paper. Plus yields on Treasuries can only go to 0, which is pretty much where they are now.



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