Sunday, May 31, 2009

Recent New Debt Issuance Update

A few new debt issuance datapoints for inquiring minds.

First - not only has HY issuance in May skyrocketed, but IG issuance is also on a tear. The past 2 weeks have seen a staggering amount of new investment grade issues: just over $28 billion. The average new issue coupon has dropped to a weighted average of 6.508%, while the current average spread to Treasuries on the 37 new issues since May 18 is T+322.

Also looking at non-TLGP issues (non-FDIC guarantees), it seems investors' amnesia has come back with a vengeance and the pick up in non-guaranteed issues will soon surpass those coming with guarantees (the notable exception is Citi, which manged to place a non-TLGP issue two weeks back, only to go back to TLGP crutches last week).

Lastly, demonstrating that in the mindset of new issue purchasers, all is back to good, the dramatic acceleration in convertible offerings is also quite staggering. Yet, these still do not come cheap, as the average adjusted yield on the YTD converts is 12.37%, a 2.20% premium over comparable bond yields.

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